BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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South Alabama

Class: 1A Class Rank: 114 Overall: (4-8) Overall Strength =  140.16
Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (3-5) | District: 1A-01 Record: (3-8)
                                                                                         pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08/30/2025 Home    W     125.84  38  21   1B  98 ( 4- 8) Morgan St             -14.32     18.76   31.32                      
 2 09/06/2025 Home    L   * 156.63  31  33   1A  55 (11- 2) Tulane                 16.47     -9.78  -18.47                      
 3 09/13/2025 Away    L   * 153.60  15  31   1A  33 ( 5- 7) Auburn                 13.44    -16.95  -29.44                      
 4 09/20/2025 Home    L * * 116.33  20  38   1A 126 ( 6- 6) Coastal Carolina      -23.83     18.84    5.83                      
 5 09/27/2025 Away    L   * 156.61  22  36   1A  28 (11- 2) North Texas            16.45    -35.22  -30.45                      
 6 10/04/2025 Away    L * * 140.46  24  31   1A  99 ( 8- 5) Troy                    0.30     -7.97   -7.30                      
 7 10/14/2025 Home    L * * 138.30  14  15   1A 111 ( 6- 6) Arkansas St            -1.86      3.46    0.86                      
 8 10/23/2025 Away    W * * 141.31  38  31   1A 133 ( 1-11) Georgia St              1.15      4.84    5.85                      
 9 11/01/2025 Home    L * * 130.57  22  31   1A 110 ( 6- 6) Louisiana-Lafayette    -9.59      0.83    0.59                      
10 11/15/2025 Away    W * * 143.48  26  14   1A 132 ( 3- 9) Louisiana-Monroe        3.32      5.56    8.68                      
11 11/22/2025 Home    W * * 149.61  42  35   1A 101 ( 7- 5) Southern Miss           9.45     -4.72   -2.45                      
12 11/29/2025 Away    L * * 129.18  26  49   1A  88 ( 6- 6) Texas St-San Marcos   -10.98     -8.42  -12.02                      
      Averages             140.16  26.5 30.4

Best game:  156.63 = 2 point loss to Tulane
Worst game: 116.33 = 18 point loss to Coastal Carolina
Team stdev:  12.84